GBATT Income Statement Review
GBATT has a relatively stable company. It saw revenues decline 4.4% and profits by 4.24% last year. Expenses dropped in lockstep with revenues, indicating that the company has good ability to respond to changes in the prevailing economy. The company still earned a healthy net margin of 12.6% last year, despite the apparent economic downturn.
There are several factors to consider when making the decision to enter the Brazilian market. If the decision to enter has already been made, then the company still has to consider the method of financing for the expansion. Debt better aligns the cash inflows incremental to the project with the outflows. However, debt may come with restrictive covenants, and furthermore depending on the method of debt financing the company might be exposed to different types of foreign exchange rate risk. Equity, on the other hand, comes at a higher cost than the cost of debt.
If debt is chosen as the means of financing this expansion, there are a few additional considerations to take into account. The first is that the debt can either be centralized or decentralized, that is to say that the debt can be entirely from the U.S., entirely from Brazil or it can be obtained as a mix. The benefit to decentralized financing is that the project will earn revenues not just from Brazil but from the rest of South America as well. As such, inflows are not just going to be in reais but in many currencies. To decentralize the debt allows for a reduction in foreign exchange rate risk -- centralized real debt means translating, third-country currencies to BRL and then to USD.
The company appears to have a low level of debt, based on the current interest expense. As such, it is recommended that decentralized debt financing be used. Real-denominated debt should be floating, to minimize interest rate risk on that volatile currency. The real-denominated debt should be in an amount roughly equivalent to expected future cash flows from Brazilian sales. The remainder of financing should be in USD, to reduce F/X risk. USD financing should be obtained domestically, and should be at...
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